Dec 10, 2010

Picking NFL Week 14

How I did last week:10-5

A couple of comebacks really helped me out. Thank you Seattle and Atlanta.

Record on the season: 103-68

Up over 60 percent, baby!

Buccaneers at Redskins: The Bucs pleasantly surprised me last week by giving the Falcons a great game in Tampa. They may be hard pressed to make the playoffs this year – they're competing with the Saints, Giants, and Packers for a wildcard slot at this point – but Josh Freeman has proved he's going to a great long-term leader for them. Buccaneers.

Browns at Bills: Buffalo can't stop the run. Cleveland has a human wrecking ball, Peyton Hillis, running the football. Let's move on. Browns.

Giants at Vikings: Is Brett Favre really wise to continue to battle to keep his consecutive games played streak alive? If I was him, the last defensive line I'd want to face would be the Giants'. Minnesota's homefield advantage and ability to stop the run (they're fourth in the league in that statistical category) should keep this one close. But ultimately the G-men will have too much for the Vikes. Giants.

Packers at Lions: Aaron Rodgers was almost too good against the Niners last week. And he should have some more fun in Detroit's indoor Ford Field. Packers

Raiders at Jaguars: Two remarkably similar teams. Both run the ball exceptionally well (Jaguars are second while Oakland are third in the league). Neither stops the run particularly well (17th and 23rd respectively). Both have so-so quarterbacks. Both flew under the radar with slow starts, but have got hot in recently. In a game this tight, give me the home team. Jaguars.

Bengals at Steelers: Remember when the Bengals went 6-0 in divisional games last season? Boy does that feel like ancient history...Steelers

Falcons at Panthers: There's a couple of contenders but this one could be the mismatch of the week. John Fox might want to consider running the ball on every offensive play just to keep the clock moving. Falcons.

Seahawks at 49ers: Seattle can make the NFC West title a two-horse race – between themselves and the Rams – by beating San Francisco here. But this division has been so messy all year, why would we get any more clarity now? 49ers.

Rams at Saints: Just like last week, New Orleans can't afford to give up any more ground to Atlanta. Saints

Patriots at Bears: Undoubtedly the best match-up of the weekend, particularly as the game is being played at Soldier Field. That's a huge advantage for the Bears, because the slippery natural grass of their home stadium will have the Wes Welkers and Danny Woodheads of New England losing their footing as they come out of their sharp cuts. Chicago's defense ain't bad either. I'm going with the upset here. Bears.

Broncos at Cardinals: I gotta to give the Cardinals fans some love here. Despite seven straight losses by the Cardinals, this game won't be blacked out in Arizona on Sunday, which means it sold out. Either people in Glendale don't have many options when it comes to things to do on the weekend, or they have a much more positive attitude than me. Broncos.

Dolphins at Jets: The Jets will remember that Monday night thrashing at the hands of Tom Brady and the Patriots for a long, long time. Miami might just bear the brunt of their humiliation. Then again, if Mark Sanchez plays like he has the past couple weeks, all bets are off. Jets

Chiefs at Chargers: Chiefs quarterback Matt Cassel may miss this one, which will put all the more pressure on Kansas City running game. San Diego has been hot and cold at stopping the run: they allowed 251 rushing yards against Oakland last week, but only 24 the week before against Indianapolis (not that the Colts are known for winning games on the ground or anything). Again homefield advantage will be key here. The Chargers are 4-2 at home while the Chiefs are 2-4 away from Arrowhead. Chargers.

Eagles at Cowboys: If the Cowboys could overcome the Eagles, after beating the Giants, Colts and Lions and losing narrowly to the Saints in the four weeks since Wade Phillips was “let go,” that would really be something. But I think the Eagles have been waiting for this game ever since January 9th when Dallas knocked them out of last season's playoffs. Eagles.

Ravens at Texans: Joe Flacco is beginning to develop a bit of a reputation as someone who struggles in the clutch (witness his bounce pass to a wide-open Ed Dickson on fourth down in crunch time against Pittsburgh last week). He needs a big game against Houston's porous secondary to get his confidence back up. Ravens.

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